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thematic Members 5 min read

The Price War Started. Good.

Last month I argued that infrastructure booms follow one pattern. The builders create the conditions. The adopters capture the gains. What triggers the handoff? Price wars begin when three conditions converge: capacity, interchangeability and buyer revolt. Own what absorbs the cheap input.

June 23, 2026 by Joe Zidle

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macro & strategy Members Jun 16, 2026

Built to Burn

The AI deflation narrative may be correct. At some point. Between now and that payoff sits $1 trillion in annual spending, a set of supply bottlenecks with multi-year resolution timelines. The oil deal will take some pressure off energy costs. Two rate hikes in the next twelve months are a floor.

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thematic Free Jun 4, 2026

AI and the Bent Curve

I watched a lecture by Chad Jones, an economist at Stanford, on AI and long-run economic growth. He opened with a simple chart: US income per person since 1870, plotted on a log scale. A straight line. ~2 percent annual growth for 150 years. Will AI enable that to continue or will it bend the curve?

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macro & strategy Members Jun 2, 2026

CAPE 42, Sentiment 44.

Leopold Aschenbrenner, the former OpenAI researcher whose "Situational Awareness" essay became required reading across institutional finance, entered into $8.46 billion in put notional. The true believer is hedging.

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ZidleMSG is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content is independent macroeconomic research and commentary, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or investment product. ZidleMSG does not manage assets, execute transactions, or provide personalized investment advice. Advisory engagements are limited to macroeconomic research and commentary and do not constitute an investment advisory relationship under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decision. © Zidle Macro Strategy Group. All rights reserved.

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