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allocation Members 5 min read

Positioning for the Overheat

The economy is not late. It is hot. On the Investment Clock the hand sits in the overheat quadrant, where growth runs solid and inflation runs right alongside it. That combination decides how capital gets deployed in the second half.

July 9, 2026 by Joe Zidle

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allocation Members Jul 14, 2026

Why AI Won't Kill Jobs or Prices

The dominant narrative around AI assumes two things: it will eliminate jobs, and it will be deflationary. Both may be backwards.

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allocation Members Jun 25, 2026

What to Expect When You Are Expecting (The Sequel)

Two years ago I published a note on interest rate cuts titled “What to Expect When You Are Expecting.” Today the script flips. The Fed is preparing to hike. What follows is a study.

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allocation Free May 5, 2026

The Price of Patience

I started the year expecting rates to drift higher and I continue to set my true north at 4.5%. This presents fundamental challenges to the Fed’s ability cut rates. I ran two studies to answer this question of what this means for private and public markets.

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ZidleMSG is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary. All content is independent macroeconomic research and commentary, published for informational purposes only. Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or investment product. ZidleMSG does not manage assets, execute transactions, or provide personalized investment advice. Advisory engagements are limited to macroeconomic research and commentary and do not constitute an investment advisory relationship under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decision. © Zidle Macro Strategy Group. All rights reserved.

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